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2005 December
The Index Investor
For a given set of goals and constraints, how are portfolio allocations affected by the use of different statistical distributions to represent the range of possible returns for different asset classes?
How does limiting the range of broad asset classes that can be included in a portfolio affect asset allocation and risk/return tradeoffs? -
2005 November
The Index Investor
Review of our asset allocation methodology and biennial model portfolio changes -
2005 October
The Index Investor
Sources of irreducible uncertainty, and their effects on asset allocation decisions -
2005 September
The Index Investor
Semi-Annual Economic Update: The Conventional Wisdom and the Most Dangerous Scenarios. Drivers, implications, and options for hedging the worst downside risks. -
2005 August
The Index Investor
Investing in Foreign Currency Bonds and Foreign Commercial Property -
2005 July
The Index Investor
Investing in Hedge Funds and Private Equity
Bridgewater's All Weather Fund
The True Costs of Active Management -
2005 June
The Index Investor
Timber as an Asset Class
Is Equity Volatility and Asset Class? -
2005 May
The Index Investor
A Closer Look at Equity Market Valuations Around the World -
2005 April
The Index Investor
Review of our Asset Allocation and Portfolio Construction Methodology -
2005 March
The Index Investor
Semi-Annual Economic Update:
Our frame of reference is complex adaptive systems theory, in which a system can be operating in a stable, adaptive, or chaotic region, depending on the amount of tension exhibited by key variables. Our thesis is that many of these variables are at levels that have pushed the global political-economic-financial system into the adaptive region. It is also our thesis that many of these uncertainties are approaching their next critical threshold, which could push the system into the chaotic zone.
At the domestic level, these variables include the unresolved conflicts between "tax payers and tax eaters" in Western developed countries, between the old and new guard in Japan, between growth and stability in China, and between young, rapidly growing populations and inflexible political and religious structures in the Arab world. At the international level, critical tensions include the response to the United States' dominant power, the accelerating emergence of China, severely unbalanced world demand growth, and the continuing economic and financial ramifications of the 1990s technology shock. -
2005 February
The Index Investor
Should You Be a Momentum Investor?
On the Relationship (or Lack Thereof) Between GDP Growth and Equity Market Returns -
2005 January
The Index Investor
Socially Responsible Investing
Art as an Asset Class